Trump's Bogus Voter Fraud Claims. Donald Trump is citing unsubstantiated urban myths and a contested academic study to paint a false narrative about rampant voter fraud in the U. S. But the report did not find evidence of wrongdoing, and numerous studies have found such voter fraud is virtually nonexistent. Trump claimed there is a massive problem with “illegal immigrants .
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But a Harvard professor who manages the data used in the Old Dominion study said the data was misused and the study’s conclusions are wrong. Finally, Trump broadly claimed that “voter fraud is very, very common,” and he has called for poll watchers to look for people impersonating voters or voting numerous times. However, numerous academic studies and government inquiries have found in- person voter fraud to be rare. For weeks, Trump has been warning about rigged elections.
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He urged his supporters in Ambridge, Pennsylvania, on Oct. In a speech in Wisconsin on Oct. Trump provided some detail and purported evidence to back up his claims about the prevalence of voter fraud, particularly by noncitizens and people casting ballots on behalf of deceased voters. But we found that his evidence is lacking.
Dead People. One of Trump’s principle claims of voter fraud is that “dead people” are voting in large numbers.“People that have died 1. Trump said in his Wisconsin speech. Later, Trump cited a Pew Charitable Trust report as evidence of “dead people” voting in large numbers. But that’s not what the report says.“The following information comes straight from Pew Research, quote, . Of the 1. 8 million, 1. Trump accurately quoted from the report, “Inaccurate, Costly and Inefficient: Evidence That America’s Voter Registration System Needs and Upgrade.” But the report did not allege the 1.
Rather, Pew said that it is evidence of the need to upgrade voter registration systems. In fact, researchers say voter fraud involving ballots cast on behalf of deceased voters is rare.“This issue of dead people voting is just not substantiated,” said Lorraine Minnite, a professor at Rutgers University and author of “The Myth of Voter Fraud.”The Help America Vote Act of 2. As a result, Minnite told us in a phone interview, a number of states compared their voter lists to the Social Security Death Index, and in some cases they turned up hundreds or even thousands of apparent instances of “dead people” voting.
But with a bit of digging, almost all of those turned out to be due to clerical errors or as a result of people who legally voted via absentee ballots or the early voting process but later died before Election Day, Minnite said. For example, in 2. South Carolina’s attorney general notified the U. S. Department of Justice of potential voter fraud after finding 9. The finding ran in the Augusta Chronicle at the time in an Associated Press story under a headline, “South Carolina attorney general informs Justice Department of voter fraud.”But a subsequent review by the State Election Commission found no evidence of fraud and that mostly the cases were clerical errors. In a letter to the attorney general, the executive director of the State Election Commission wrote that it only had the resources to investigate 2. Of those cases, it found 1.
Election Day; and 1. Cases of people actually voting fraudulently on behalf of deceased people are rare — though isolated examples have occurred, Minnite said.“There are a handful of known cases in which documentation shows that votes have been cast in the names of voters who have died before the vote was submitted,” wrote Justin Levitt in a 2. The Truth About Voter Fraud,” for the Brennan Center for Justice. Levitt explored five reports of widespread fraud regarding “dead voters” and found all of them were unfounded or greatly exaggerated.
Noncitizens. The second leg of Trump’s allegation of widespread voter fraud rests on “illegal immigrants voting,” another practice that experts told us is fairly rare. In Wisconsin, Trump cited a 2. Washington Post article titled “Could non- citizens decide the November election?” It was a piece penned by Old Dominion University professors Jesse Richman and David Earnest about research the two later published in the journal Electoral Studies. It turns out to be a disputed and very controversial study.
Trump. 1. 7: Then there’s the issue of illegal immigrants voting. The following comes from a 2. Washington Post. This article was entitled, “Could non- citizens decide the November election?” Here’s some excerpts. They don’t tell you about this. But the authors’ results are contested by a number of academics, including those who administer and manage the data on which it is based.
The study relied on data from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study, which is administered by You. Gov/Polimetrix and managed by Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Richman and Earnest estimated the number of noncitizens who voted nationwide based on those in the survey who self- identified as noncitizens who voted.“Our best guess, based upon extrapolations from the portion of the sample with a verified vote, is that 6. Richman and Earnest wrote in the Post. In a blistering rebuke of that study, the managers of the database on which the article by Richman and Earnest was based wrote in Electoral Studies that “measurement errors” in the survey led to a “biased estimate of the rate at which non- citizens voted in recent elections.
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The results, we show, are completely accounted for by very low frequency measurement error; further, the likely percent of non- citizen voters in recent US elections is 0.”“Their finding is entirely due to measurement error,” one of the authors, Stephen Ansolabehere of Harvard and the principal investigator of CCES, wrote to us in an email. People accidentally check the wrong box in surveys. The rate of such errors in the CCES is very small, but such errors do happen. And when they do happen on a question such as citizenship, researchers can easily draw the wrong inference about voting behaviors. Richman and Earnest extrapolate from a handful of wrongfully classified cases (of non- citizens).”How do the database managers know? Ansolabehere explained, “We asked people in successive years their citizenship. That minimizes the error.
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Upon doing so we find NO INSTANCES of voting among people stating consistently that they are non- citizens.”“The CCES conducts a panel (repeated interviews of people asking the same questions) and vote validation,” Ansolabehere said. It’s a dangerous, stray false- fact.”We reached out to Richman, who told us that he and Earnest “stand by our study, but we encourage people to read the critiques too.”Richman said Ansolabehere’s figures were off, and that there was “one individual in 2. And, he said, “There were also ten individuals who twice stated that they were non- citizens and also stated that they voted in 2. There were also in 2.
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Nonetheless, Richman credited Ansolabehere and his colleagues for their “valuable contributions” to the issue, which he said “highlighted the fact that response errors could have biased our estimates upwards.” Richman said he remains “unconvinced” that Ansolabehere’s evidence shows there was no voting by noncitizens, which he said “simply . These levels are sufficient to change the outcomes in extremely close elections.
But one should keep in mind that such elections can be swayed by any number of factors that arguably bias election results toward, or against, particular parties and candidates. Put another way, our results suggest that almost all elections in the US are not determined by non- citizen participation, with occasional and very rare potential exceptions.“Both sides of the debate on non- citizen voting have exaggerated our findings concerning non- citizen representation,” Richman added. On the right there has been a tendency to misread our results as proof of massive voter fraud, which we don’t think they are.”Researchers who have studied the issue have found relatively few cases of noncitizens voting. That’s not to say it never happens.
A 2. 01. 5 report from the conservative Heritage Foundation documented less than a dozen individual cases of noncitizens convicted of registering or actually voting since 2. And in Texas, a city councilwoman was sentenced in 2. But such cases are rare, experts told us. Sarah Pierce, an associate policy analyst with the Migration Policy Institute, said there’s very little evidence of it, in part because the disincentives are enormous. It is an illegal offense for an unauthorized immigrant to vote — a deportable offense that makes a person permanently inadmissible for return to the U. S., she said. Is Voter Fraud .
They even want to try to rig the election at the polling booths. And believe me, there’s a lot going on. Do you ever hear these people? They say there’s nothing going on.
People that have died 1. Illegal immigrants are voting. I mean, where are the street smarts of some of these politicians? After the 1. 98. 2 election, in Chicago, 6.
Election Day and forge ballots in their name. But in a speech in Manheim, Pennsylvania, on Oct. Trump urged his supporters to “watch your polling booths because I hear too many stories about Pennsylvania, certain areas. Ambridge, Pennsylvania, he asked supporters to “watch other communities, because we don’t want this election stolen from us.” That suggests a problem with what voting experts call voter impersonation. In an interview on CNN’s “State of the Union” on Oct. New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, a Trump surrogate, talked about busloads of people voting numerous times in some big cities.
He also quipped that “dead people generally vote for Democrats, rather than Republicans.”“We have people who cheat in elections,” Giuliani said, particularly in “inner cities” controlled largely by Democrats. And on CNN on Oct. Steve King, a Trump backer, insisted, “There is significant evidence out there that there is voter fraud.”But is there?
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